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Home » Predictions » Others » Lealtad x Compostela Betting tips for October 2 in Spain Copa Federacion
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 12h00 Spain Copa Federacion
Lealtad Lealtad
PREDICTION Compostela Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Compostela Compostela
ODD: @2.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Lealtad x Compostela Betting tips for October 2 in Spain Copa Federacion

Our betting tip for Lealtad x Compostela, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
📅 2/10/2024
12:00
Lealtad Lealtad
2.70
X
3.20
Compostela Compostela
2.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lealtad x Compostela:

🔮 Compostela wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Compostela, you can win up to $1165.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lealtad x Compostela:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Compostela in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lealtad scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Compostela matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lealtad x Compostela for the Spain Copa Federacion – 2 of October

🏟️ Lealtad X Compostela – Spain Copa Federacion
📅 2 of October, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Lealtad – Winning probability: 29.83% | Fair line: 3.35
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.66% | Fair line: 5.36
🔴 Compostela – Winning probability: 51.50% | Fair line: 1.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lealtad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lealtad x Compostela is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1193870 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lealtad x Compostela

Is it worth betting on Lealtad?

🔵 Lealtad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$392.00.

Should you bet on Compostela?

🔴 Compostela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $691.60;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$211.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lealtad x Compostela

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lealtad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lealtad x Compostela

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lealtad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Lealtad.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Lealtad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lealtad x Compostela

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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