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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Leamington x Redditch Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Southern Premier League Central
Leamington Leamington
PREDICTION No tip
Redditch Redditch
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Leamington x Redditch Betting tips for November 25 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Leamington x Redditch, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Leamington Leamington
2.00
X
3.50
Redditch Redditch
3.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Leamington x Redditch:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Leamington x Redditch

Some important points for the tip for Leamington x Redditch:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leamington in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Redditch in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $178.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Leamington scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Redditch scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Leamington conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Redditch has not lost any of them.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Leamington x Redditch

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Summary

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Analysis from Leamington x Redditch for the England Southern Premier League Central – 25 of November

🏟️ Leamington X Redditch – England Southern Premier League Central
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Leamington – Winning probability: 50.96% | Fair line: 1.96
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.32% | Fair line: 4.29
πŸ”΄ Redditch – Winning probability: 25.71% | Fair line: 3.89
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leamington
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leamington x Redditch is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leamington x Redditch

Should you bet on Leamington?

πŸ”΅ Leamington: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $510.00;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Redditch?

πŸ”΄ Redditch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leamington x Redditch

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Leamington
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leamington x Redditch

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Leamington, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Leamington.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Redditch.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leamington x Redditch

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves