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Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Lecce U19 Lecce U19
PREDICTION No tip
Bologna U19 Bologna U19
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Lecce U19 x Bologna U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
13:30
Lecce U19 Lecce U19
1.95
X
3.50
Bologna U19 Bologna U19
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

Important information for your tip for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lecce U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bologna U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lecce U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Lecce U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lecce U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bologna U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lecce U19 x Bologna U19?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lecce U19 x Bologna U19:

Analysis from Lecce U19 x Bologna U19 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 25 of November

🏟️ Lecce U19 X Bologna U19 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Lecce U19 – Winning probability: 46.48% | Fair line: 2.15
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.66% | Fair line: 3.49
πŸ”΄ Bologna U19 – Winning probability: 24.86% | Fair line: 4.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

Is betting on Lecce U19 worth it?

πŸ”΅ Lecce U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$103.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$15.00.

Should you bet on Bologna U19?

πŸ”΄ Bologna U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lecce U19
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lecce U19 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lecce U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bologna U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecce U19 x Bologna U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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