Lecco x Padova Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Lecco x Padova, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:30

Lecco 4.54

X 3.25

Padova 1.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lecco x Padova:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Lecco x Padova

Some important points for the tip for Lecco x Padova: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $58.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $210.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lecco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Padova scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lecco matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Padova has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lecco x Padova?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lecco x Padova for the Italy Serie C Group A – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lecco and Padova.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecco x Padova

Is betting on Lecco worth it?

🔵 Lecco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $566.40
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$273.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$187.50.

Is it worth betting on Padova?

🔴 Padova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $417.60;
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$2.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecco x Padova

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lecco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecco x Padova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Lecco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Lecco.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecco x Padova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.