Leeds x Luton Betting tips for November 27 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Leeds x Luton, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 19:45

Leeds 1.44

X 4.20

Luton 7.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Leeds x Luton:

🔮 Leeds wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $720.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Leeds x Luton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $222.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Luton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leeds scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Luton conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Leeds is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Luton as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Leeds x Luton?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Leeds x Luton for the England Championship – 27 of November

When the best bet on Leeds x Luton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leeds x Luton

Is it worth betting on Leeds?

🔵 Leeds: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $347.60
• And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$137.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Should you bet on Luton?

🔴 Luton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $671.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$219.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leeds x Luton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Leeds
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leeds x Luton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Leeds and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Leeds.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Luton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leeds x Luton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.