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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Leeds x Watford Betting tips for October 22 in England Championship
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 18h45 England Championship
Leeds Leeds
PREDICTION Leeds wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Watford Watford
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Leeds x Watford Betting tips for October 22 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Leeds x Watford, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
18:45
Leeds Leeds
1.40
X
4.84
Watford Watford
7.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leeds x Watford:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leeds wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leeds, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Leeds x Watford:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Watford, Leeds scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Watford matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Watford conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Watford as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Leeds x Watford?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Leeds x Watford, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Leeds x Watford for the England Championship – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leeds X Watford – England Championship
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 18:45
๐Ÿ”ต Leeds – Winning probability: 85.88% | Fair line: 1.16
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.17% | Fair line: 13.95
๐Ÿ”ด Watford – Winning probability: 6.95% | Fair line: 14.39
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Leeds
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leeds x Watford is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206441 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leeds x Watford

Is it a good idea to bet on Leeds?

๐Ÿ”ต Leeds: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $344.00;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$204.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $268.80;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$661.20.

Is it worth betting on Watford?

๐Ÿ”ด Watford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$475.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Leeds x Watford

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Leeds
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leeds x Watford

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Leeds and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Leeds.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Leeds.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leeds x Watford

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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