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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Leganes x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for January 31 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 31 January 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Leganes Leganes
PREDICTION Rayo Vallecano Wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
ODD: @2.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Leganes x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for January 31 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano, Friday, 31/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 31/1/2025
20:00
Leganes Leganes
2.90
X
3.00
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Rayo Vallecano wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Rayo Vallecano, you can win up to $1310.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leganes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $538.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Rayo Vallecano scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Rayo Vallecano, Leganes scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Rayo Vallecano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Leganes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Rayo Vallecano.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leganes x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain La Liga โ€“ 31 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leganes X Rayo Vallecano โ€“ Spain La Liga
๐Ÿ“… 31 of January, 2025 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Leganes โ€“ Winning probability: 24.99% | Fair line: 4.0
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 31.53% | Fair line: 3.17
๐Ÿ”ด Rayo Vallecano โ€“ Winning probability: 43.48% | Fair line: 2.3
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.5 Leganes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leganes x Rayo Vallecano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1254219 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano

Is it a good idea to bet on Leganes?

๐Ÿ”ต Leganes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times โ€“ profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times โ€“ having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$275.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times โ€“ profiting $640.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times โ€“ having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Rayo Vallecano?

๐Ÿ”ด Rayo Vallecano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times โ€“ having a profit of $696.60;
  • And would lose other 570 times โ€“ losing -$570.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$126.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leganes x Rayo Vallecano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.5 Leganes
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Leganes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Leganes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.0 Rayo Vallecano.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leganes x Rayo Vallecano

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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