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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Leicester x Watford Betting tips for November 25 in England Championship
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Championship
Leicester Leicester
PREDICTION Leicester wins Probability 2% 1 X 2
Watford Watford
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Leicester x Watford Betting tips for November 25 in England Championship

Our betting tip for Leicester x Watford, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Leicester Leicester
1.55
X
4.00
Watford Watford
5.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Leicester x Watford:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Leicester wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leicester, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Leicester x Watford:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $116.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Watford, Leicester scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Leicester matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Watford matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Watford has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Leicester has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Watford.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Leicester x Watford

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Summary

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Analysis from Leicester x Watford for the England Championship – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leicester X Watford – England Championship
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Leicester – Winning probability: 78.74% | Fair line: 1.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.60% | Fair line: 5.37
๐Ÿ”ด Watford – Winning probability: 2.65% | Fair line: 37.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Leicester
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leicester x Watford right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leicester x Watford

Should you bet on Leicester?

๐Ÿ”ต Leicester: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 78.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $434.50
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$240.00.

Is it worth betting on Watford?

๐Ÿ”ด Watford: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $140.40
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$829.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Leicester x Watford

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Leicester
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leicester x Watford

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Leicester, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Leicester.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Leicester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leicester x Watford

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves