Lens x PSG Betting tips for December 22 in France Cup

Our betting tip for Lens x PSG, Sunday, 22/12/2024

📅 22/12/2024 20:00

Lens 4.30

X 3.70

PSG 1.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lens x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $860.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lens x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lens in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-68.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lens scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Lens conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against PSG. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, PSG has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Lens x PSG for the France Cup – 22 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lens and PSG.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238880 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lens x PSG

Is betting on Lens worth it?

🔵 Lens: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $216.00
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$704.00.

Should you bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 760 times – profiting $547.20;
• And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$307.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lens x PSG

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Lens
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lens x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Lens, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Lens.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lens x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.