Leones x Bogota FC Betting tips for September 27 in Colombia Primera B

Our betting tip for Leones x Bogota FC, Friday, 27/9/2024

📅 27/9/2024 21:30

Leones 1.85

X 3.25

Bogota FC 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Leones x Bogota FC:

🔮 Leones wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leones, you can win up to $925.00!

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Important information for your tip for Leones x Bogota FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Leones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-72.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bogota FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $600.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Leones scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Bogota FC, Leones scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bogota FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Leones has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Bogota FC playing at home.

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Analysis from Leones x Bogota FC for the Colombia Primera B – 27 of September

When the best bet on Leones x Bogota FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1189218 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leones x Bogota FC

Should you bet on Leones?

🔵 Leones: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $586.50
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$276.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$350.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bogota FC?

🔴 Bogota FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $280.00;
• And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$620.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leones x Bogota FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leones x Bogota FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Leones and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Leones.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Leones.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leones x Bogota FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.