Levante x Real Sociedad Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Levante x Real Sociedad, Saturday, 20/12/2025

📅 20/12/2025 15:15

Levante 3.25

X 3.40

Real Sociedad 2.16

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Levante x Real Sociedad:

🔮 Real Sociedad wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Sociedad, you can win up to $1080.00!

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The main points for the tip for Levante x Real Sociedad:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Levante in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-400.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $62.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Sociedad, Levante scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Levante conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Levante conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Real Sociedad.
👉 Levante has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Real Sociedad playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Levante as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

🤖 ChatGPT’s take on our prediction for Levante vs Real Sociedad:

Lets analyze the match between Levante and Real Sociedad in La Liga, which will take place at the Ciutat de Valencia Stadium, home of Levante. 🏟️

Levante has been performing very poorly at home in recent matches, with 0 wins and 4 losses in their last 5 games at their stadium, suffering a high average of goals (3 per game) and scoring little (1 per game). Additionally, they have less ball possession (48%) and are outshot by the opponent. On the other hand, Real Sociedad is better away: they won 3 of the last 5 away games, scored an average of 2 goals per match, and only conceded 1. They also dominate possession (53%) and have more accurate shots.

The median odds indicate favoritism for Real Sociedad with odds close to 2.15 for their victory against about 3.25 for Levante to win at home.

📰 Recent news shows Levante is focused on settling last seasons pending issues with postponed matches and also preparing for the Copa del Rey; this may indicate physical fatigue or divided focus. Meanwhile, Real Sociedad is on a good run after a narrow victory in the Copa del Rey with a goal in stoppage time, showing good mental and tactical form.

📈 In the league table, the data isnt detailed here but considering recent performances, its clear that Real Sociedad is in a more comfortable position while Levante struggles to improve their poor home campaign — this further motivates the visitors to seek victory.

Analyzing the fair probabilities based on statistics: adjusting median odds by the bookmakers margin gives approximate normalized implied probabilities as follows:

• Levante win: ~29%
• Draw: ~28%
• Real Sociedad win: ~43%

Given the recent history of the teams combined with news about Levantes fatigue and Real Sociedads good form, my estimate is that the actual chances are even higher for the visitors to win — something close to or even above 45%. A draw seems less likely due to the defensive fragility of the home team.

The analysis of fair odds suggests value in betting on Real Sociedads victory considering their superior form both technically and psychologically against the tired home team but without recent positive results.

Suggestion: Bet on Real Sociedads victory, as it shows a positive expected value above +5% calculated by the Bets Kenya model (+37% EV), confirming it as a profitable bet according to my analysis as well!

Always remember to bet responsibly! ⚽💰

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Levante x Real Sociedad?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Levante x Real Sociedad, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Levante x Real Sociedad for the Spain La Liga – 20 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Levante x Real Sociedad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Levante x Real Sociedad

Levante UD: Levante UD officially requested that the postponed league match against Villarreal be played on February 18, aiming to resolve the disruption caused at the start of the season; the club is also preparing for the upcoming Copa del Rey match against Cultural Leonesa, with details about the broadcast channel and start time already announced, while the team aims to improve its position in the 2025-26 LaLiga EA Sports campaign, facing a tight schedule that includes both the rescheduled league game and the cup match.

Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad maintained their cup streak by defeating Segunda División team Eldense 2-1 in a Copa del Rey match, securing victory with a late goal, while in the recent LaLiga round against Girona, Arsen Zakharyan scored a free-kick goal in attack and a tactical change brought Aihen Muñoz in for Sergio Gómez.

Spain La Liga table analysis for Levante x Real Sociedad

Levante: Levante is in 20th and last place in La Liga, with only 9 points, and has already been mathematically relegated to a lower division. This means that, regardless of the result of this match, the team cannot avoid relegation. Therefore, the game is irrelevant for Levante in terms of the standings, but it can still serve as an opportunity for the team to seek a historic victory to cheer up its fans.

Real Sociedad: Real Sociedad is in 15th place with 16 points, a relatively safe distance from the relegation zone, since the first team in the zone has 15 points and Real Sociedad has a small advantage. The team still needs to earn points to secure its stay in the league, but the match against the last-placed team is a good opportunity to gather important points. Thus, the game has moderate importance for Real Sociedad, which wants to cautiously distance itself from the relegation zone and ensure its survival in the top tier.

Summary: The game is important for Real Sociedad, which seeks to secure its stay in La Liga, while for Levante, the match is irrelevant from the standings perspective, as they are already mathematically relegated.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Levante x Real Sociedad

Is it worth betting on Levante?

🔵 Levante: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $337.50;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$512.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$320.00.

Should you bet on Real Sociedad?

🔴 Real Sociedad: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 650 times – profiting $754.00;
• And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$404.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Levante x Real Sociedad

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Levante
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levante x Real Sociedad

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Levante and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Levante.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Real Sociedad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levante x Real Sociedad

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.