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Home » Predictions » Others » Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for April 9 in Bulgaria First League
Thursday, 09 April 2026, 17h30 Bulgaria First League
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
PREDICTION Levski Sofia wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
ODD: @1.36
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Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali Betting tips for April 9 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali, Thursday, 9/4/2026
📅 9/4/2026
17:30
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
1.36
X
4.20
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
9.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

🔮 Levski Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Levski Sofia, you can win up to $680.00!

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Important information for your tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Levski Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $154.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arda Kardzhali in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Levski Sofia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Levski Sofia is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Levski Sofia has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Arda Kardzhali playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali for the Bulgaria First League – 9 of April

🏟️ Levski Sofia X Arda Kardzhali – Bulgaria First League
📅 9 of April, 2026 – 17:30
🔵 Levski Sofia – Winning probability: 86.89% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.20% | Fair line: 8.93
🔴 Arda Kardzhali – Winning probability: 1.91% | Fair line: 52.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Levski Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali (1X2, handicap and goals).

📊 With a variation of -4.62%, the odds for Levski Sofia are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @1.363 for Levski Sofia and now the odds are @1.3.
📊 With a variation of 3.17%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @4.2 for Draw and now the odds are @4.333.
📊 The odds for Arda Kardzhali had a huge Raised of 22.22%: the market opened with odds of @9.0 for Arda Kardzhali and now the odds are @11.0.
📊 The market increased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -1.25 is now at -1.50 for Levski Sofia.
📊 The market expects more goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.25 and now is at 2.50 goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

When the best bet on Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1516896 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Is it a good idea to bet on Levski Sofia?

🔵 Levski Sofia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – profiting $313.20;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$183.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $352.00;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$538.00.

Is betting on Arda Kardzhali worth it?

🔴 Arda Kardzhali: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $160.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$820.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Levski Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Levski Sofia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Levski Sofia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Levski Sofia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali

Which team is the favourite in Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali?

From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is Levski Sofia, with a win probability of 86.89%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!

Who will win: Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Levski Sofia has the better chance to win, with a probability of 86.89%. If you choose to back Levski Sofia, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Levski Sofia beating Arda Kardzhali today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Levski Sofia would take victory in roughly 87 of them versus Arda Kardzhali.

What are the chances of Arda Kardzhali beating Levski Sofia today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Arda Kardzhali would take victory in roughly 2 of them against Levski Sofia.

Which team should I bet on: Levski Sofia or Arda Kardzhali?

Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Levski Sofia wins, with an expected value of 13.04%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!

How much is Levski Sofia paying today? See what you can win by betting on Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

The odds for Levski Sofia to beat Arda Kardzhali today are around 1.36. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1360.00 if Levski Sofia wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

How much is Arda Kardzhali paying today? See what you can win by betting on Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali:

The average odds for Arda Kardzhali to beat Levski Sofia today are 9.00. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh9000.00 if Arda Kardzhali wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which bookmaker is best for betting on Levski Sofia x Arda Kardzhali?

To bet on the match between Levski Sofia and Arda Kardzhali, we recommend using licensed and reputable bookmakers. Here are three bookmakers we suggest for this fixture:

Always gamble responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves