Liberia x Togo Betting tips for November 13 in Africa Cup of Nations Qualification
| 📅 13/11/2024 16:00 |
 Liberia4.40 |
X 3.25 |
Togo  1.70 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Liberia x Togo:
🔮 Togo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Togo, you can win up to $850.00!
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The main points for the tip for Liberia x Togo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Liberia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |
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Analysis from Liberia x Togo for the Africa Cup of Nations Qualification – 13 of November
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🏟️ Liberia X Togo – Africa Cup of Nations Qualification |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liberia x Togo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220960 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Liberia x Togo
Is it worth betting on Liberia?
🔵 Liberia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $1224.00
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$584.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $427.50;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$382.50.
Is betting on Togo worth it?
🔴 Togo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $308.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$252.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Liberia x Togo
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Liberia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liberia x Togo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Liberia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Liberia.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Liberia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liberia x Togo
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
