Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion Betting tips for October 5 in Paraguay Division Profesional
| 📅 5/10/2024 21:00 |
 Libertad Asuncion1.84 |
X 3.25 |
Guarani Asuncion  4.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion
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Important information for your tip for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0. |
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Analysis from Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion for the Paraguay Division Profesional – 5 of October
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🏟️ Libertad Asuncion X Guarani Asuncion – Paraguay Division Profesional |
When the best bet on Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion
Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?
🔵 Libertad Asuncion: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $445.20
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$24.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – profiting $585.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$155.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Guarani Asuncion?
🔴 Guarani Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $630.00;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Libertad Asuncion
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Libertad Asuncion, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Libertad Asuncion.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Guarani Asuncion.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Libertad Asuncion x Guarani Asuncion
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
