Ligorna x Asti Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 14/12/2025 13:30 |
 Ligorna1.68 |
X 3.68 |
Asti  4.65 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ligorna x Asti:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1840.00!
🔮 Asti wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Asti, you can win up to $2325.00!
Important information for your tip for Ligorna x Asti:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Asti in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 Ligorna did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Ligorna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Asti matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Ligorna is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ligorna x Asti?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Ligorna x Asti for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December
🏟️ Ligorna X Asti – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Ligorna – Winning probability: 53.07% | Fair line: 1.88
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.87% | Fair line: 5.03
🔴 Asti – Winning probability: 27.06% | Fair line: 3.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ligorna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ligorna and Asti.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ligorna x Asti
Should you bet on Ligorna?
🔵 Ligorna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $360.40;
- And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $536.00
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.00.
Is betting on Asti worth it?
🔴 Asti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $985.50;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$255.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ligorna x Asti
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Ligorna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ligorna x Asti
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Ligorna, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Ligorna.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Asti.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ligorna x Asti
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
