Linfield x Larne FC Betting tips for December 30 in Northern Ireland Premier
| 📅 30/12/2024 19:45 |
 Linfield1.90 |
X 3.25 |
Larne FC  3.88 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Linfield x Larne FC:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Linfield x Larne FC
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Some important points for the tip for Linfield x Larne FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Linfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0. |
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Analysis from Linfield x Larne FC for the Northern Ireland Premier – 30 of December
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🏟️ Linfield X Larne FC – Northern Ireland Premier |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Linfield x Larne FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1240463 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Linfield x Larne FC
Should you bet on Linfield?
🔵 Linfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 550 times – profiting $495.00;
- And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$45.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $562.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.50.
Is betting on Larne FC worth it?
🔴 Larne FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$224.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Linfield x Larne FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Linfield
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linfield x Larne FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Linfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Linfield.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Larne FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linfield x Larne FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
