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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC Betting tips for November 24 in Gibraltar National League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Gibraltar National League
Lions Gibraltar Lions Gibraltar
PREDICTION Mons Calpe SC Wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Mons Calpe SC Mons Calpe SC
ODD: @1.11 Don't miss this prediction!

Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC Betting tips for November 24 in Gibraltar National League

Our betting tip for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
20:00
Lions Gibraltar Lions Gibraltar
15.00
X
7.60
Mons Calpe SC Mons Calpe SC
1.11

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mons Calpe SC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mons Calpe SC, you can win up to $555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lions Gibraltar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mons Calpe SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $200.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Mons Calpe SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Mons Calpe SC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lions Gibraltar conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mons Calpe SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Lions Gibraltar conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Mons Calpe SC.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Lions Gibraltar as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC for the Gibraltar National League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lions Gibraltar X Mons Calpe SC – Gibraltar National League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lions Gibraltar – Winning probability: 0.03% | Fair line: 3486.36
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.69% | Fair line: 145.93
๐Ÿ”ด Mons Calpe SC – Winning probability: 99.29% | Fair line: 1.01
โš– Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Lions Gibraltar
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC

Is betting on Lions Gibraltar worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Lions Gibraltar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 15.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $66.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$924.00.

Is it worth betting on Mons Calpe SC?

๐Ÿ”ด Mons Calpe SC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 99.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $108.90
  • And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$98.90.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Lions Gibraltar
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.0 Lions Gibraltar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +2.5 Lions Gibraltar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +2.5 Lions Gibraltar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lions Gibraltar x Mons Calpe SC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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