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Home » Predictions » Others » Livingston x Morton Betting tips for November 12 in Scotland League Challenge Cup
Tuesday, 12 November 2024, 19h45 Scotland League Challenge Cup
Livingston Livingston
PREDICTION Livingston wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Morton Morton
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Livingston x Morton Betting tips for November 12 in Scotland League Challenge Cup

Our betting tip for Livingston x Morton, Tuesday, 12/11/2024
📅 12/11/2024
19:45
Livingston Livingston
1.70
X
3.50
Morton Morton
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Livingston x Morton:

🔮 Livingston wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Livingston, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Livingston x Morton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Livingston in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-182.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Morton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 Morton did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 Playing as the home team, Livingston conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Morton.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Livingston x Morton?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Livingston x Morton for the Scotland League Challenge Cup – 12 of November

🏟️ Livingston X Morton – Scotland League Challenge Cup
📅 12 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Livingston – Winning probability: 66.36% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.40% | Fair line: 8.07
🔴 Morton – Winning probability: 21.25% | Fair line: 4.71
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Livingston
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Livingston x Morton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1220224 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Livingston x Morton

Is betting on Livingston worth it?

🔵 Livingston: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Morton?

🔴 Morton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $672.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Livingston x Morton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Livingston
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Livingston x Morton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Livingston and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Livingston.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Livingston.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Livingston x Morton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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