Livorno x Pontedera Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie C Group B
| 📅 20/12/2025 16:30 |
 Livorno2.06 |
X 3.14 |
Pontedera  3.12 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Livorno x Pontedera:
🔮 Livorno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Livorno, you can win up to $1030.00!
The main points for the tip for Livorno x Pontedera:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Livorno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $440.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Livorno scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Livorno x Pontedera, with Livorno as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Livorno conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pontedera conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Pontedera as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Livorno x Pontedera?
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Analysis from Livorno x Pontedera for the Italy Serie C Group B – 20 of December
🏟️ Livorno X Pontedera – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Livorno – Winning probability: 57.96% | Fair line: 1.73
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.58% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 Pontedera – Winning probability: 14.47% | Fair line: 6.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Livorno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Livorno x Pontedera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1455033 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Livorno x Pontedera
Is betting on Livorno worth it?
🔵 Livorno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $614.80;
- And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$194.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $599.20
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$120.80.
Is it worth betting on Pontedera?
🔴 Pontedera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $296.80
- And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$563.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Livorno x Pontedera
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Livorno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Livorno x Pontedera
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Livorno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Livorno.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Livorno x Pontedera
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
