LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow Betting tips for March 29 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow, Saturday, 29/3/2025

📅 29/3/2025 14:00

LKS Lomza 2.10

X 3.60

GKS Belchatow 2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow

Some important points for the tip for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow: 👉 If you had bet $100 on LKS Lomza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on GKS Belchatow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 4 GKS Belchatow matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, GKS Belchatow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow for the Poland III Liga – 29 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow

Is it worth betting on LKS Lomza?

🔵 LKS Lomza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 48.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $539.00;
• And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$29.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is betting on GKS Belchatow worth it?

🔴 GKS Belchatow: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $507.50
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$202.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 LKS Lomza
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 LKS Lomza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 LKS Lomza.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LKS Lomza x GKS Belchatow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.