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Home » Predictions » Others » Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 10h30 Bulgaria First League
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
PREDICTION Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Beroe Beroe
ODD: @2.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe Betting tips for November 30 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
10:30
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
2.65
X
3.00
Beroe Beroe
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe:

🔮 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia, you can win up to $1325.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Beroe in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $600.0.
👉 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Beroe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Beroe has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe for the Bulgaria First League – 30 of November

🏟️ Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia X Beroe – Bulgaria First League
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia – Winning probability: 56.35% | Fair line: 1.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.31% | Fair line: 5.78
🔴 Beroe – Winning probability: 26.34% | Fair line: 3.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia and Beroe.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229758 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe

Is betting on Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia worth it?

🔵 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $924.00;
  • And would have lost other 440 times – with a loss of -$440.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$484.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $340.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$490.00.

Is betting on Beroe worth it?

🔴 Beroe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $403.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia x Beroe

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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