Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv Betting tips for December 1 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 10:30

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3.85

X 3.25

Botev Plovdiv 1.91

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv:

🔮 Botev Plovdiv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botev Plovdiv, you can win up to $955.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lokomotiv Plovdiv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botev Plovdiv in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $118.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Botev Plovdiv, Lokomotiv Plovdiv scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Botev Plovdiv matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lokomotiv Plovdiv has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Botev Plovdiv playing at home.

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Analysis from Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv for the Bulgaria First League – 1 of December

When the best bet on Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv

Is it worth betting on Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

🔵 Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$384.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is betting on Botev Plovdiv worth it?

🔴 Botev Plovdiv: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – profiting $491.40;
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$31.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x Botev Plovdiv

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.