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Home » Predictions » Others » Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia Betting tips for November 2 in Bulgaria First League
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 12h30 Bulgaria First League
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
PREDICTION CSKA Sofia Wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction!

Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia Betting tips for November 2 in Bulgaria First League

Our betting tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
12:30
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
4.60
X
3.44
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1.66

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia:

🔮 CSKA Sofia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CSKA Sofia, you can win up to $830.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lokomotiv Plovdiv in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CSKA Sofia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-222.0.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia, with Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lokomotiv Plovdiv conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia for the Bulgaria First League – 2 of November

🏟️ Lokomotiv Plovdiv X CSKA Sofia – Bulgaria First League
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Winning probability: 10.64% | Fair line: 9.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.26% | Fair line: 5.8
🔴 CSKA Sofia – Winning probability: 72.11% | Fair line: 1.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1213968 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia

Should you bet on Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

🔵 Lokomotiv Plovdiv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $396.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $414.80;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$415.20.

Is it worth betting on CSKA Sofia?

🔴 CSKA Sofia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$195.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 CSKA Sofia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lokomotiv Plovdiv x CSKA Sofia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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