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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Division B
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Belgium First Division B
Lommel Lommel
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 25% 1 X 2
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
ODD: @3.15 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Betting tips for November 24 in Belgium First Division B

Our betting tip for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:00
Lommel Lommel
2.05
X
3.15
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen Patro Eisden Maasmechelen
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1575.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lommel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $166.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Patro Eisden Maasmechelen did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Lommel scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Patro Eisden Maasmechelen matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Patro Eisden Maasmechelen has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

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Summary

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Analysis from Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen for the Belgium First Division B – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lommel X Patro Eisden Maasmechelen – Belgium First Division B
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lommel – Winning probability: 33.46% | Fair line: 2.99
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.99% | Fair line: 2.44
๐Ÿ”ด Patro Eisden Maasmechelen – Winning probability: 25.55% | Fair line: 3.91
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lommel
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Is it worth betting on Lommel?

๐Ÿ”ต Lommel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $346.50;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$323.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $881.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$291.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Patro Eisden Maasmechelen?

๐Ÿ”ด Patro Eisden Maasmechelen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $650.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$90.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lommel
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Lommel and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lommel.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lommel x Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves