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Home » Predictions » Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse Betting tips for November 29 in Belgium First Division B
Friday, 29 November 2024, 19h00 Belgium First Division B
Lommel Lommel
PREDICTION Lommel wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
SC Lokeren-Temse SC Lokeren-Temse
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse Betting tips for November 29 in Belgium First Division B

Our betting tip for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
19:00
Lommel Lommel
1.67
X
3.75
SC Lokeren-Temse SC Lokeren-Temse
4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse:

🔮 Lommel wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lommel, you can win up to $835.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lommel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lommel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SC Lokeren-Temse scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against SC Lokeren-Temse, Lommel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Lommel matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lommel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SC Lokeren-Temse conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, SC Lokeren-Temse has not lost any of them.
👉 Lommel has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against SC Lokeren-Temse playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse for the Belgium First Division B – 29 of November

🏟️ Lommel X SC Lokeren-Temse – Belgium First Division B
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Lommel – Winning probability: 63.72% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.82% | Fair line: 4.8
🔴 SC Lokeren-Temse – Winning probability: 15.46% | Fair line: 6.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lommel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse

Is it worth betting on Lommel?

🔵 Lommel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $428.80;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$68.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $577.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.50.

Should you bet on SC Lokeren-Temse?

🔴 SC Lokeren-Temse: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $510.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lommel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lommel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lommel.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lommel x SC Lokeren-Temse

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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