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Home » Predictions » Lugo B x Alondras Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Tercera Group 1
Sunday, 21 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 1
Lugo B Lugo B
PREDICTION No tip
Alondras Alondras
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Lugo B x Alondras Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Tercera Group 1

Our betting tip for Lugo B x Alondras, Sunday, 21/12/2025
📅 21/12/2025
11:00
Lugo B Lugo B
2.37
X
2.85
Alondras Alondras
2.98

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lugo B x Alondras:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lugo B x Alondras

Some important points for the tip for Lugo B x Alondras:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lugo B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alondras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 7 Lugo B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lugo B x Alondras for the Spain Tercera Group 1 – 21 of December

🏟️ Lugo B X Alondras – Spain Tercera Group 1
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Lugo B – Winning probability: 41.98% | Fair line: 2.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.82% | Fair line: 3.14
🔴 Alondras – Winning probability: 26.19% | Fair line: 3.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lugo B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lugo B x Alondras is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lugo B x Alondras

Is it a good idea to bet on Lugo B?

🔵 Lugo B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $575.40;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$4.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $592.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$88.00.

Should you bet on Alondras?

🔴 Alondras: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $514.80
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lugo B x Alondras

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lugo B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lugo B x Alondras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lugo B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lugo B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Alondras.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lugo B x Alondras

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves