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Home » Predictions » Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane Lumezzane
PREDICTION AC Feralpisalo Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:30
Lumezzane Lumezzane
2.97
X
3.25
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
2.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo:

🔮 AC Feralpisalo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Feralpisalo, you can win up to $1100.00!

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The main points for the tip for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lumezzane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Feralpisalo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 3 Lumezzane matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Lumezzane conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AC Feralpisalo.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo for the Italy Serie C Group A – 23 of November

🏟️ Lumezzane X AC Feralpisalo – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Lumezzane – Winning probability: 12.26% | Fair line: 8.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.59% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 AC Feralpisalo – Winning probability: 64.16% | Fair line: 1.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

Is betting on Lumezzane worth it?

🔵 Lumezzane: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $236.40;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$643.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AC Feralpisalo?

🔴 AC Feralpisalo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 64.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $768.00;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$408.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Lumezzane and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Lumezzane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AC Feralpisalo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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