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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Lusail x Umm Salal Betting tips for December 14 in Qatar Stars Cup
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 14h30 Qatar Stars Cup
Lusail Lusail
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Umm Salal Umm Salal
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Lusail x Umm Salal Betting tips for December 14 in Qatar Stars Cup

Our betting tip for Lusail x Umm Salal, Sunday, 14/12/2025
πŸ“… 14/12/2025
14:30
Lusail Lusail
2.58
X
3.60
Umm Salal Umm Salal
2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lusail x Umm Salal:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lusail x Umm Salal

Important information for your tip for Lusail x Umm Salal:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lusail in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $280.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lusail scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Umm Salal scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Umm Salal matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lusail conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Umm Salal conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Lusail x Umm Salal for the Qatar Stars Cup – 14 of December

🏟️ Lusail X Umm Salal – Qatar Stars Cup
πŸ“… 14 of December, 2025 – 14:30
πŸ”΅ Lusail – Winning probability: 35.91% | Fair line: 2.78
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.68% | Fair line: 4.41
πŸ”΄ Umm Salal – Winning probability: 41.40% | Fair line: 2.42
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lusail
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lusail x Umm Salal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lusail x Umm Salal

Is betting on Lusail worth it?

πŸ”΅ Lusail: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $568.80
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$71.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$172.00.

Is it worth betting on Umm Salal?

πŸ”΄ Umm Salal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $512.50
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$77.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lusail x Umm Salal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lusail
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusail x Umm Salal

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Lusail and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Lusail.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusail x Umm Salal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves