Lusitania x GD Peniche Betting tips for December 21 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Lusitania x GD Peniche, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 12:00

Lusitania 2.32

X 3.20

GD Peniche 2.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lusitania x GD Peniche:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lusitania x GD Peniche

The main points for the tip for Lusitania x GD Peniche:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitania in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Peniche in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lusitania x GD Peniche?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lusitania x GD Peniche for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lusitania x GD Peniche right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lusitania x GD Peniche

Is betting on Lusitania worth it?

🔵 Lusitania: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $501.60;
• And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$118.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is betting on GD Peniche worth it?

🔴 GD Peniche: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $580.80
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$89.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lusitania x GD Peniche

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lusitania
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusitania x GD Peniche

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Lusitania, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lusitania. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusitania x GD Peniche

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.