Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense Betting tips for December 22 in Portugal Segunda Liga
| 📅 22/12/2025 20:45 |
 Lusitania Lourosa1.86 |
X 3.40 |
UD Oliveirense  3.70 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense:
🔮 Lusitania Lourosa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitania Lourosa, you can win up to $930.00!
The main points for the tip for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitania Lourosa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Oliveirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lusitania Lourosa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, UD Oliveirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 22 of December
🏟️ Lusitania Lourosa X UD Oliveirense – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 22 of December, 2025 – 20:45
🔵 Lusitania Lourosa – Winning probability: 61.78% | Fair line: 1.62
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.26% | Fair line: 4.7
🔴 UD Oliveirense – Winning probability: 16.96% | Fair line: 5.89
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454884 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense
Is betting on Lusitania Lourosa worth it?
🔵 Lusitania Lourosa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $533.20;
- And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$153.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$286.00.
Is it worth betting on UD Oliveirense?
🔴 UD Oliveirense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $459.00;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$371.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lusitania Lourosa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lusitania Lourosa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusitania Lourosa x UD Oliveirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
