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Home » Predictions » Others » Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Liga 3
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
Lusitania Lourosa Lusitania Lourosa
PREDICTION Lusitania Lourosa wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Varzim Varzim
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Lusitania Lourosa Lusitania Lourosa
1.90
X
3.30
Varzim Varzim
3.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim:

🔮 Lusitania Lourosa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lusitania Lourosa, you can win up to $950.00!

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Important information for your tip for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lusitania Lourosa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Varzim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-45.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Lusitania Lourosa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Varzim conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim for the Portugal Liga 3 – 30 of November

🏟️ Lusitania Lourosa X Varzim – Portugal Liga 3
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Lusitania Lourosa – Winning probability: 62.84% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.92% | Fair line: 4.56
🔴 Varzim – Winning probability: 15.24% | Fair line: 6.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim

Should you bet on Lusitania Lourosa?

🔵 Lusitania Lourosa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $567.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$197.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it worth betting on Varzim?

🔴 Varzim: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $393.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$457.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Lusitania Lourosa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Lusitania Lourosa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lusitania Lourosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lusitania Lourosa x Varzim

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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