Luton x Derby Betting tips for December 20 in England Championship
| 📅 20/12/2024 20:00 |
 Luton2.05 |
X 3.30 |
Derby  3.58 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Luton x Derby:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1650.00!
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The main points for the tip for Luton x Derby: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Luton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $68.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Luton x Derby?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Luton x Derby for the England Championship – 20 of December
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🏟️ Luton X Derby – England Championship |
When the best bet on Luton x Derby is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238688 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Luton x Derby
Should you bet on Luton?
🔵 Luton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $378.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 400 times – profiting $920.00;
- And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$320.00.
Is it worth betting on Derby?
🔴 Derby: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $645.00;
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$105.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Luton x Derby
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Luton
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Luton x Derby
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Luton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Luton.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Luton x Derby
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
