Maastricht x Ajax Reserves Betting tips for December 12 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
| 📅 12/12/2025 19:00 |
 Maastricht2.09 |
X 3.75 |
Ajax Reserves  2.87 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves:
🔮 Maastricht wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maastricht, you can win up to $1045.00!
Important information for your tip for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maastricht in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Ajax Reserves, Maastricht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Ajax Reserves matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Maastricht has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Ajax Reserves.
👉 It is not a good time for Ajax Reserves as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Maastricht x Ajax Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 12 of December
🏟️ Maastricht X Ajax Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 12 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Maastricht – Winning probability: 50.13% | Fair line: 1.99
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.04% | Fair line: 4.99
🔴 Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 29.82% | Fair line: 3.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Maastricht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452043 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves
Is betting on Maastricht worth it?
🔵 Maastricht: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.09. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $545.00
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$45.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is betting on Ajax Reserves worth it?
🔴 Ajax Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $561.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$139.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Maastricht x Ajax Reserves
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Maastricht
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Maastricht, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Maastricht.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maastricht x Ajax Reserves
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
