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Home » Predictions » Others » Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Betting tips for November 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 18h00 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Macara Macara
PREDICTION Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Betting tips for November 30 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Our betting tip for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
18:00
Macara Macara
2.62
X
3.45
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador:

🔮 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Macara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Universidad Catolica del Ecuador, Macara scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Macara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Macara conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Universidad Catolica del Ecuador conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Macara conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador:

Analysis from Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A – 30 of November

🏟️ Macara X Universidad Catolica del Ecuador – Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Macara – Winning probability: 19.44% | Fair line: 5.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.73% | Fair line: 3.74
🔴 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador – Winning probability: 53.83% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Macara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

Is it worth betting on Macara?

🔵 Macara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $307.80;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$502.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $661.50;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$68.50.

Is it worth betting on Universidad Catolica del Ecuador?

🔴 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$242.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Macara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Macara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Macara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Universidad Catolica del Ecuador.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macara x Universidad Catolica del Ecuador

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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