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Home » Predictions » Others » Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 5 in Australia A-League
Friday, 05 December 2025, 08h35 Australia A-League
Macarthur FC Macarthur FC
PREDICTION Melbourne Victory Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
ODD: @2.53
Bonus 100% up to $500
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Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for December 5 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory, Friday, 5/12/2025
📅 5/12/2025
08:35
Macarthur FC Macarthur FC
2.57
X
3.52
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2.53

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory:

🔮 Melbourne Victory wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory, you can win up to $1265.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Macarthur FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Macarthur FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Macarthur FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Melbourne Victory.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory for the Australia A-League – 5 of December

🏟️ Macarthur FC X Melbourne Victory – Australia A-League
📅 5 of December, 2025 – 08:35
🔵 Macarthur FC – Winning probability: 27.99% | Fair line: 3.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.30% | Fair line: 5.46
🔴 Melbourne Victory – Winning probability: 53.71% | Fair line: 1.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Macarthur FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Macarthur FC and Melbourne Victory.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1448893 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

Is it a good idea to bet on Macarthur FC?

🔵 Macarthur FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $439.60
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $453.60
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$366.40.

Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?

🔴 Melbourne Victory: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $826.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$366.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Macarthur FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Macarthur FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Macarthur FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves