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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for November 24 in Australia A-League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Australia A-League
Macarthur FC Macarthur FC
PREDICTION Melbourne Victory Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
ODD: @2.12 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory Betting tips for November 24 in Australia A-League

Our betting tip for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
08:45
Macarthur FC Macarthur FC
3.00
X
3.62
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
2.12

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Melbourne Victory wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory, you can win up to $1060.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Macarthur FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-27.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Macarthur FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Melbourne Victory scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Macarthur FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Melbourne Victory.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Melbourne Victory has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory:

Analysis from Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory for the Australia A-League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Macarthur FC X Melbourne Victory – Australia A-League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 08:45
๐Ÿ”ต Macarthur FC – Winning probability: 10.46% | Fair line: 9.56
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.64% | Fair line: 4.62
๐Ÿ”ด Melbourne Victory – Winning probability: 67.90% | Fair line: 1.47
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Macarthur FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

Should you bet on Macarthur FC?

๐Ÿ”ต Macarthur FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $200.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $576.40;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$203.60.

Should you bet on Melbourne Victory?

๐Ÿ”ด Melbourne Victory: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $761.60;
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$441.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Macarthur FC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Macarthur FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Macarthur FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Melbourne Victory.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macarthur FC x Melbourne Victory

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves