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Home » Predictions » Others » Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv Betting tips for December 28 in Israel Liga Alef South
Saturday, 28 December 2024, 18h45 Israel Liga Alef South
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Hapoel Holon Yaniv Hapoel Holon Yaniv
ODD: @3.02 Don't miss this prediction!

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv Betting tips for December 28 in Israel Liga Alef South

Our betting tip for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv, Saturday, 28/12/2024
📅 28/12/2024
18:45
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
2.48
X
3.02
Hapoel Holon Yaniv Hapoel Holon Yaniv
2.64

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1510.00!

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Important information for your tip for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Ironi Ashdod in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-88.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Holon Yaniv in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $282.0.
👉 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Hapoel Holon Yaniv scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv, with Maccabi Ironi Ashdod as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Hapoel Holon Yaniv has not lost any of them.
👉 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Holon Yaniv playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv for the Israel Liga Alef South – 28 of December

🏟️ Maccabi Ironi Ashdod X Hapoel Holon Yaniv – Israel Liga Alef South
📅 28 of December, 2024 – 18:45
🔵 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod – Winning probability: 27.09% | Fair line: 3.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.48% | Fair line: 2.82
🔴 Hapoel Holon Yaniv – Winning probability: 37.43% | Fair line: 2.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Maccabi Ironi Ashdod and Hapoel Holon Yaniv.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1240180 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Is betting on Maccabi Ironi Ashdod worth it?

🔵 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $399.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$330.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $707.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$57.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

🔴 Hapoel Holon Yaniv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $606.80;
  • And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Hapoel Holon Yaniv.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod x Hapoel Holon Yaniv

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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