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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Macclesfield x Guiseley Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Northern Premier League
Macclesfield Macclesfield
PREDICTION No tip
Guiseley Guiseley
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Macclesfield x Guiseley Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Macclesfield x Guiseley, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Macclesfield Macclesfield
1.65
X
4.20
Guiseley Guiseley
3.94

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Macclesfield x Guiseley:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Macclesfield x Guiseley

Some important points for the tip for Macclesfield x Guiseley:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Macclesfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-6.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Guiseley in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $183.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Macclesfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Guiseley scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Macclesfield conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Guiseley.

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Macclesfield x Guiseley

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Summary

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Analysis from Macclesfield x Guiseley for the England Northern Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Macclesfield X Guiseley – England Northern Premier League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Macclesfield – Winning probability: 56.38% | Fair line: 1.77
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.65% | Fair line: 4.23
πŸ”΄ Guiseley – Winning probability: 19.98% | Fair line: 5.01
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Macclesfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Macclesfield x Guiseley is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Macclesfield x Guiseley

Is it worth betting on Macclesfield?

πŸ”΅ Macclesfield: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $364.00
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $768.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is it worth betting on Guiseley?

πŸ”΄ Guiseley: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$212.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Macclesfield x Guiseley

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Macclesfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Macclesfield x Guiseley

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Macclesfield, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Macclesfield.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Macclesfield x Guiseley

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves