Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya Betting tips for December 2 in Indonesia Liga 1
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2/12/2024 12:00 |
 Madura United2.80 |
X 3.07 |
Persebaya Surabaya  2.39 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya
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The main points for the tip for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya: π If you had bet $100 on Madura United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. |
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Analysis from Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya for the Indonesia Liga 1 – 2 of December
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ποΈ Madura United X Persebaya Surabaya – Indonesia Liga 1 |
When the best bet on Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230608 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya
Is it a good idea to bet on Madura United?
π΅ Madura United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $522.00
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$188.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $517.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$232.50.
Should you bet on Persebaya Surabaya?
π΄ Persebaya Surabaya: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $639.40
- And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$99.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Madura United
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Madura United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Madura United.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Madura United.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Madura United x Persebaya Surabaya
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
