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Home » Predictions » Others » Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin Betting tips for November 29 in Germany Bundesliga II
Friday, 29 November 2024, 17h30 Germany Bundesliga II
Magdeburg Magdeburg
PREDICTION Hertha Berlin Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin
ODD: @2.45 Don't miss this prediction!

Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin Betting tips for November 29 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
17:30
Magdeburg Magdeburg
2.48
X
3.76
Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin
2.45

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin:

🔮 Hertha Berlin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hertha Berlin, you can win up to $1225.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Magdeburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hertha Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Hertha Berlin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Hertha Berlin matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hertha Berlin conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Magdeburg is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga II – 29 of November

🏟️ Magdeburg X Hertha Berlin – Germany Bundesliga II
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Magdeburg – Winning probability: 21.88% | Fair line: 4.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
🔴 Hertha Berlin – Winning probability: 58.65% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Magdeburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Magdeburg and Hertha Berlin.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin

Is it worth betting on Magdeburg?

🔵 Magdeburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $325.60;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$454.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $524.40;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.60.

Is betting on Hertha Berlin worth it?

🔴 Hertha Berlin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $855.50;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$445.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Magdeburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Magdeburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Magdeburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Hertha Berlin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Magdeburg x Hertha Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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