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Home » Predictions » Magdeburg x St Pauli Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Bundesliga II
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 12h00 Germany Bundesliga II
Magdeburg Magdeburg
PREDICTION St Pauli Wins Probability 73% 1 X 2
St Pauli St Pauli
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Magdeburg x St Pauli Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Magdeburg x St Pauli, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
12:00
Magdeburg Magdeburg
4.04
X
3.75
St Pauli St Pauli
1.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Magdeburg x St Pauli:

🔮 St Pauli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Pauli, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Magdeburg x St Pauli:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Magdeburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $267.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Magdeburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against St Pauli, Magdeburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Magdeburg x St Pauli, with Magdeburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, St Pauli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Magdeburg conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against St Pauli.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, St Pauli has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, St Pauli won the last 3 head-to-head matches Magdeburg´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Magdeburg x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga II – 10 of February

🏟️ Magdeburg X St Pauli – Germany Bundesliga II
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Magdeburg – Winning probability: 9.25% | Fair line: 10.81
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.62% | Fair line: 5.67
🔴 St Pauli – Winning probability: 73.13% | Fair line: 1.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Magdeburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Magdeburg x St Pauli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1054913 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

Is it a good idea to bet on Magdeburg?

🔵 Magdeburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $273.60;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$636.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is betting on St Pauli worth it?

🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $547.50
  • And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$277.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Magdeburg x St Pauli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Magdeburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Magdeburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Magdeburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Magdeburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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