Magdeburg x St Pauli Betting tips for February 10 in Germany Bundesliga II

Our betting tip for Magdeburg x St Pauli, Saturday, 10/2/2024

📅 10/2/2024 12:00

Magdeburg 4.04

X 3.75

St Pauli 1.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Magdeburg x St Pauli:

🔮 St Pauli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on St Pauli, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Magdeburg x St Pauli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Magdeburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on St Pauli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $267.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Magdeburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, St Pauli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against St Pauli, Magdeburg scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Magdeburg x St Pauli, with Magdeburg as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, St Pauli conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Magdeburg conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against St Pauli. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, St Pauli has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, St Pauli won the last 3 head-to-head matches Magdeburg´s territory

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Magdeburg x St Pauli?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Magdeburg x St Pauli for the Germany Bundesliga II – 10 of February

When the best bet on Magdeburg x St Pauli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1054913 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

Is it a good idea to bet on Magdeburg?

🔵 Magdeburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $273.60;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$636.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is betting on St Pauli worth it?

🔴 St Pauli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $547.50
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$277.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Magdeburg x St Pauli

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Magdeburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Magdeburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Magdeburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Magdeburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Magdeburg x St Pauli

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.