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Home » Predictions » Others » Malacateco x CD Achuapa Betting tips for March 29 in Guatemala Liga Nacional
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 01h00 Guatemala Liga Nacional
Malacateco Malacateco
PREDICTION Malacateco wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
ODD: @1.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Malacateco x CD Achuapa Betting tips for March 29 in Guatemala Liga Nacional

Our betting tip for Malacateco x CD Achuapa, Saturday, 29/3/2025
📅 29/3/2025
01:00
Malacateco Malacateco
1.42
X
3.98
CD Achuapa CD Achuapa
6.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Malacateco x CD Achuapa:

🔮 Malacateco wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Malacateco, you can win up to $710.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Malacateco x CD Achuapa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Malacateco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $299.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Achuapa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Malacateco scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Malacateco is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Malacateco x CD Achuapa for the Guatemala Liga Nacional – 29 of March

🏟️ Malacateco X CD Achuapa – Guatemala Liga Nacional
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 01:00
🔵 Malacateco – Winning probability: 86.13% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.27% | Fair line: 8.88
🔴 CD Achuapa – Winning probability: 2.61% | Fair line: 38.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Malacateco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Malacateco and CD Achuapa.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1290768 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Malacateco x CD Achuapa

Is it a good idea to bet on Malacateco?

🔵 Malacateco: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $361.20;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$221.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $327.80;
  • And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$562.20.

Is it worth betting on CD Achuapa?

🔴 CD Achuapa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $159.60;
  • And would lose other 970 times – having a loss of -$970.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$810.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Malacateco x CD Achuapa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Malacateco
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malacateco x CD Achuapa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Malacateco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Malacateco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Malacateco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malacateco x CD Achuapa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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