Malaga x Almeria Betting tips for December 21 in Spain Segunda

Our betting tip for Malaga x Almeria, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:00

Malaga 3.00

X 3.14

Almeria 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Malaga x Almeria:

🔮 Almeria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Almeria, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Malaga x Almeria:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Malaga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $230.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almeria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-10.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Malaga scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Almeria scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Malaga x Almeria, with Malaga as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 Almeria matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Malaga conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Almeria conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Malaga conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Almeria.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Malaga x Almeria?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Malaga x Almeria:

Analysis from Malaga x Almeria for the Spain Segunda – 21 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Malaga and Almeria.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Malaga x Almeria

Is it a good idea to bet on Malaga?

🔵 Malaga: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $385.20;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$434.80.

Is it worth betting on Almeria?

🔴 Almeria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 660 times – profiting $858.00;
• And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$518.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Malaga x Almeria

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Malaga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malaga x Almeria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Malaga and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Malaga.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Almeria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malaga x Almeria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.