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Home Β» Predictions Β» Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Federacion Women
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Spain Segunda Federacion Women
Malaga Women Malaga Women
PREDICTION No tip
CD Femarguin Women CD Femarguin Women
Don't miss this prediction!

Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Federacion Women

Our betting tip for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Malaga Women Malaga Women
2.50
X
3.20
CD Femarguin Women CD Femarguin Women
2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women

Important information for your tip for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Malaga Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, CD Femarguin Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 CD Femarguin Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Malaga Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, CD Femarguin Women has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women for the Spain Segunda Federacion Women – 29 of September

🏟️ Malaga Women X CD Femarguin Women – Spain Segunda Federacion Women
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Malaga Women – Winning probability: 39.03% | Fair line: 2.56
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.27% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ CD Femarguin Women – Winning probability: 32.70% | Fair line: 3.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Malaga Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women

Is betting on Malaga Women worth it?

πŸ”΅ Malaga Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Should you bet on CD Femarguin Women?

πŸ”΄ CD Femarguin Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Malaga Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Malaga Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Malaga Women.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Malaga Women x CD Femarguin Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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