Mallorca x Valencia Betting tips for November 29 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 29/11/2024 20:00 |
 Mallorca1.92 |
X 3.10 |
Valencia  4.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mallorca x Valencia:
🔮 Mallorca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mallorca, you can win up to $960.00!
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The main points for the tip for Mallorca x Valencia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-398.0. |
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Analysis from Mallorca x Valencia for the Spain La Liga – 29 of November
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🏟️ Mallorca X Valencia – Spain La Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mallorca and Valencia.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Mallorca x Valencia
Is betting on Mallorca worth it?
🔵 Mallorca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $496.80;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$36.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
- And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$54.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on Valencia?
🔴 Valencia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $396.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$484.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mallorca x Valencia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mallorca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mallorca x Valencia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Mallorca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Mallorca.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mallorca.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mallorca x Valencia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
