Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W) Betting tips for December 14 in England Super League Women
| 📅 14/12/2025 12:00 |
 Manchester City (W)1.25 |
X 5.44 |
Aston Villa (W)  8.10 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W):
🔮 Manchester City (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City (W), you can win up to $625.00!
Important information for your tip for Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W):
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City (W) in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $309.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $613.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Manchester City (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Aston Villa (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Aston Villa (W), Manchester City (W) scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Manchester City (W) is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Manchester City (W) has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Aston Villa (W) playing at home.
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Analysis from Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W) for the England Super League Women – 14 of December
🏟️ Manchester City (W) X Aston Villa (W) – England Super League Women
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 12:00
🔵 Manchester City (W) – Winning probability: 88.49% | Fair line: 1.13
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.91% | Fair line: 11.22
🔴 Aston Villa (W) – Winning probability: 2.60% | Fair line: 38.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Manchester City (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Manchester City (W) and Aston Villa (W).
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W)
Is betting on Manchester City (W) worth it?
🔵 Manchester City (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
- And would lose other 120 times – losing -$120.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$100.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $399.60;
- And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$510.40.
Should you bet on Aston Villa (W)?
🔴 Aston Villa (W): the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $213.00
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$757.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W)
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Manchester City (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W)
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Manchester City (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Manchester City (W).
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City (W) x Aston Villa (W)
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
