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Home » Predictions » Others » Mansfield x Crawley Town Betting tips for January 28 in England League 1
Tuesday, 28 January 2025, 19h45 England League 1
Mansfield Mansfield
PREDICTION No tip
Crawley Town Crawley Town
Don't miss this prediction!

Mansfield x Crawley Town Betting tips for January 28 in England League 1

Our betting tip for Mansfield x Crawley Town, Tuesday, 28/1/2025
📅 28/1/2025
19:45
Mansfield Mansfield
1.55
X
4.05
Crawley Town Crawley Town
5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mansfield x Crawley Town:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Mansfield x Crawley Town

Important information for your tip for Mansfield x Crawley Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mansfield in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Crawley Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Crawley Town, Mansfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Mansfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crawley Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mansfield x Crawley Town?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mansfield x Crawley Town for the England League 1 – 28 of January

🏟️ Mansfield X Crawley Town – England League 1
📅 28 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Mansfield – Winning probability: 67.72% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.30% | Fair line: 6.99
🔴 Crawley Town – Winning probability: 17.98% | Fair line: 5.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mansfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mansfield x Crawley Town right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1252829 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mansfield x Crawley Town

Is betting on Mansfield worth it?

🔵 Mansfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $374.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$54.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $427.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$433.00.

Is betting on Crawley Town worth it?

🔴 Crawley Town: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $765.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Mansfield x Crawley Town

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Mansfield
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mansfield x Crawley Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Mansfield and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Mansfield.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Crawley Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mansfield x Crawley Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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