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Home » Predictions » Others » Mantova x Modena Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 16h15 Italy Serie B
Mantova Mantova
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
Modena Modena
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Mantova x Modena Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Mantova x Modena, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
16:15
Mantova Mantova
3.00
X
3.10
Modena Modena
2.39

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mantova x Modena:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mantova x Modena:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $335.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Modena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 Mantova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Modena matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Modena conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Mantova x Modena?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Mantova x Modena for the Italy Serie B – 30 of November

🏟️ Mantova X Modena – Italy Serie B
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 16:15
🔵 Mantova – Winning probability: 26.02% | Fair line: 3.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.26% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 Modena – Winning probability: 38.72% | Fair line: 2.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mantova x Modena is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Mantova x Modena

Is betting on Mantova worth it?

🔵 Mantova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $735.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Modena?

🔴 Modena: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $542.10;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$67.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mantova x Modena

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mantova x Modena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Mantova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Mantova.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Mantova.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mantova x Modena

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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