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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Mantova x Sudtirol Betting tips for March 29 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie B
Mantova Mantova
PREDICTION No tip
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Don't miss this prediction!

Mantova x Sudtirol Betting tips for March 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Mantova x Sudtirol, Saturday, 29/3/2025
πŸ“… 29/3/2025
14:00
Mantova Mantova
2.60
X
2.99
Sudtirol Sudtirol
2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Mantova x Sudtirol:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Mantova x Sudtirol

Important information for your tip for Mantova x Sudtirol:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mantova in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sudtirol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mantova conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Mantova conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Sudtirol.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mantova x Sudtirol for the Italy Serie B – 29 of March

🏟️ Mantova X Sudtirol – Italy Serie B
πŸ“… 29 of March, 2025 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ Mantova – Winning probability: 38.78% | Fair line: 2.58
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.18% | Fair line: 3.01
πŸ”΄ Sudtirol – Winning probability: 28.05% | Fair line: 3.57
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mantova x Sudtirol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for Mantova x Sudtirol

Is betting on Mantova worth it?

πŸ”΅ Mantova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $656.70;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$13.30.

Is betting on Sudtirol worth it?

πŸ”΄ Sudtirol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$216.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mantova x Sudtirol

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: +0.25 Mantova
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for Mantova x Sudtirol

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mantova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Mantova.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: -0.0 Sudtirol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mantova x Sudtirol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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