Maracanã x Ferroviario Betting tips for January 6 in Brazil Campeonato Cearense

Our betting tip for Maracanã x Ferroviario, Tuesday, 6/1/2026

📅 6/1/2026 22:00

Maracanã 1.95

X 3.10

Ferroviario 3.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Maracanã x Ferroviario:

🔮 Ferroviario wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ferroviario, you can win up to $1810.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Maracanã x Ferroviario:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Maracanã in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferroviario in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ferroviario, Maracanã scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Maracanã conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ferroviario.

🤖 ChatGPT analysis on the prediction for Maracanã vs Ferroviario:

Lets analyze the match between Maracanã and Ferroviário in the Cearense Championship, which will be held at Maracana Municipal Stadium. This stadium is a municipal arena with modest capacity for about 3,000 spectators, which can influence the game atmosphere but does not constitute a major traditional home advantage like larger stadiums.

📈 Table analysis and performance: The Maracanã team shows better recent home performance, with 3 wins and only 2 losses in the last 5 games at their stadium, scoring an average of 1 goal per game and maintaining good ball possession (54%). Ferroviário has struggled away, with only 1 win in the last 5 away games and conceding more goals (average of 2 goals per game). This indicates Maracanãs greater need for a win to keep their good form.

📰 Recent news: Maracanã is undergoing pitch maintenance for larger competitions, but this does not directly affect this local match. On the other hand, Ferroviário recently became a SAF and had a tough start in the youth Copinha. These changes might impact team stability at this moment.

Based on median odds: home win at 1.94, draw at 3.10, away win at 3.62; the normalized implied probabilities are approximately: home ~50%, draw ~31%, away ~19%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats and current club situations — where Maracanã shows more offensive and defensive consistency — my fair estimate is close to these or slightly favoring the home team due to Ferroviários defensive fragility away.

Our internal model suggests predicted odds for a home win around 1.70 (higher implied probability), a very unlikely draw with high odds (~7), and an away odd close to the market (~3.67). This indicates clear value in betting on the home team — which I fully agree with based on the analysis.

Final suggestion: The recommended bet is on Maracanãs victory with a positive expected value above +12% as calculated by Bets Kenya — an excellent opportunity! Avoid draws or bets on Ferroviário as they show negative EV based on current data.

Good luck with your bets! ⚽💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on Maracanã x Ferroviario?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Maracanã x Ferroviario:

Analysis from Maracanã x Ferroviario for the Brazil Campeonato Cearense – 6 of January

Latest news on the match between Maracanã and Ferroviario

Flamengo: The Maracanã is undergoing pitch maintenance and is expected to be available again starting from the third round of the Campeonato Carioca, scheduled for January 21, when it will host the classic match between Flamengo and Vasco; however, due to revitalization work, Flamengo might play their first Carioca game at the Luso-Brazilian Stadium, home of Portuguesa, while Fluminense, which also uses Maracanã, announced the signing of left-back Guilherme Aranda for the 2026 season, and both clubs are preparing their squads for a tight schedule that includes the Supercopa do Brasil on February 1 and up to 12 matches in 40 days.

Ferroviário do Ceará: Ferroviário do Ceará ended 2025 with significant structural changes, officially transforming into a Football Corporation (SAF) under the control of Grupo Makes on November 19, and has already launched the uniform for the 2026 season, sold at R$ 229.90; the club also confirmed its participation in the 2026 Copinha as one of Cearás representatives, and in the first game of the tournament, suffered a 5-0 defeat against Ibrachina, marking the start of their campaign in the youth competition.

Brazil Campeonato Cearense table analysis for Maracanã x Ferroviario

Maracanã: Starts the competition in Group A of the Cearense 2026 Serie A. With the table at zero and the first round awaiting start, the match is crucial for Maracanã to seek its first points and avoid the risk of relegation, as it is in the group fighting against dropping. A victory represents an important push to stay in the state’s top division, while a loss or draw keeps the team in a delicate situation, increasing pressure in subsequent games. Therefore, for Maracanã, the match is decisive to establish a good start and plan the path for staying in Serie A.

Ferroviário: Also in Group A, Ferroviário is among the five teams with clear ambitions to qualify for the championship phase (Championship round). Starting the competition with points is essential to secure a spot among the best in the group and advance in the tournament, even aiming for the title. The match against a team threatened with relegation like Maracanã requires attention, as a defeat could complicate the campaign from the beginning, and a draw reduces the potential to score better than other direct competitors. Thus, for Ferroviário, the game is highly important for qualification to the next stages of the championship.

Summary: The duel between Maracanã and Ferroviário is of high importance for both teams. For Maracanã, the game is decisive to seek Serie A permanence and avoid a poor campaign right at the start. For Ferroviário, it is a match of high importance in its fight for a spot in the title phase, where the three points should be a priority target. Therefore, this first match of Cearense 2026 in Group A is decisive and can influence the season’s development for both teams. ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Maracanã x Ferroviario

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Maracanã x Ferroviario right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460125 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Maracanã?

🔵 Maracanã: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $465.50;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$44.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $315.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$535.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ferroviario?

🔴 Ferroviario: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $969.40;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$339.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Maracanã x Ferroviario

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Maracanã
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Maracanã x Ferroviario

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Maracanã and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Maracanã.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ferroviario.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Maracanã x Ferroviario

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.